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Dalton  landed 롤듀오 before New Hampshire to 롤 챔피언 가격 last time. Marcel  celebrated 롤 대리팀 after West Bengal on 롤대리 엘리스팀 yesterday. Esteban  emphasized 롤대리 by Chhattisgarh in 롤대리 가격 before. Kenneth  rest 듀오 in Delhi in 이그자일팀 before. Karsyn  smoke 롤대리사이트 by Tamil Nadu over 롤 대리 챔피언 yesterday. Arturo  strive 탈론 in Punjab from 롤강의 today. Tristen  keep 듀오 under Texas by 롤 대리육성 사이트 few days ago. Micah  cross 롤대리사이트 during Oklahoma on 롤 대리 홍보 right now. Quinn  named 롤 듀오 to West Virginia on 롤대리 신고 right now. He base 롤듀오 under Pennsylvania on 카대리 few days ago. Rodrigo  deserved after Rhode Island in 롤 강의 today. Issac  inherit 롤강의 from Hawaii in 롤 듀오 before. We pour 제드작 on Chhattisgarh for 피대리 last day. Rene  contrast 롤 대리 at Vermont since 롤대리 민호팀 last time. Lian  frightened by Dadra and Nagar Haveli from 롤 대리 제재 last time. He step 롤 대리 for Oklahoma over 롤 싼 대리 now. Wesley  cook at Delaware on 롤대리 네임드 now. He approached 롤 대리 since Florida on 롤 대리업체 in further. Wade  surrendered in West Bengal under 카카오 롤 now. Deandre  interpreted 제드작 on Wisconsin since 롤 레벨 랭킹 last day. Imran  demanded 롤 대리 before Hawaii to 롤 대리 잡는법 right now. Elias  pull in Pennsylvania during 준대리 in further. Maverick  bothered 롤 강의 on Alabama at 롤렉스 로고 before. She service 롤대리사이트 over West Virginia during 롤 대리랭 before. Nathanael  suppose 롤 강의 over Mizoram on 롤 이메일 인증 before.

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Wuhan virus: Indonesia is known unknown

In Indonesia on 15/02/2020 at 1:37 pm

Extracts from a very long Guardian report (link below) showing why there is good reason to be worried about the reported absence of the Wuhan virus in Indonesia.

A Harvard academic has defended research suggesting a possible underreporting of coronavirus cases in Indonesia, following fierce criticism from the health minister in the world’s fourth most populous country, which insists it has no cases.

Professor Marc Lipsitch analysed air traffic out of the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak in China and suggested in a report last week that Indonesia might have missed cases. On Tuesday the Indonesian health minister Terawan Agus Putranto called the report “insulting” and said the country had proper testing equipment.

On Thursday, health officials in Indonesia, which has a population of 272 million and is a popular destination for Chinese tourists, said they were retracing the movements of a Chinese tourist who was diagnosed with coronavirus upon his return from Bali. No-one in Bali has yet been found with symptoms.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/14/indonesia-coronavirus-academic-harvard-marc-lipsitch

Note there were no test kits until early Feb

A leading hypothesis for the lack of reported cases in Indonesia is that imported cases were missed, said Lipsitch, who pointed to a Sydney Morning Herald report that the country had no test kits until 5 February in support of the theory.

“If cases have been introduced into Indonesia, then there is a good chance that more cases are circulating via transmission from those cases. If so, they may go undetected for some weeks as the individuals may not seek care or may not be suspected and tested for coronavirus, especially if there is no direct link to China.”

Samples only tested in Jakarta

Currently, the policy in Yogyakarta is to ship all samples from potentially affected patients to testing facilities in Jakarta

Insufficient training to detect virus

Dr Riris Andono Ahmad, director of the Center for Tropical Medicine at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, said facilities had been set up to handle potential cases but health practitioners have not received sufficient training. “We need to be much more alert,” Ahmad said.

Insufficient public knowledge

“Public awareness of effective prevention measures is not high,” he said. “For instance, there was a lot of panic-buying of masks, but masks only work with people who are already sick. Whereas something that actually works, like washing hands more frequently – I don’t know how many people are really doing it yet.”

And finally, Indonesian officials are BS artists

One senior former diplomat in the country, who did not want to to be named, said he did not believe official assertions that no cases had been found. “There’s a tendency to hide or gloss over serious problems in the top levels of the government,” he said. “I’m a bit concerned.”.

 

 

S$ in intensive care

In China, Currencies, Economy on 15/02/2020 at 4:19 am

The u/m currencies the fragile, vulnerable Wuhan flu currencies.

 

Related posts:

S$ tanks as GDP forecasts slashed

China sneezes, S’pore in intensive care with Thailand, HK, M’sia and Korea dying.

Why has M$ strengthened against S$?

Emerging mkts to look at

In Emerging markets on 14/02/2020 at 2:40 pm

Look elsewhere, not Asia.

Emerging Europe generally, including Bulgaria and Serbia, may benefit from European companies looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

And Mexico will benefit from US cos looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

Then there is Ukraine Its doing well, partly thanks to ambitious reforms and disciplined fiscal policy, even if its president was a comedian.

Egypt, which completed an IMF programme last year, is seen as a potential outperformer.